Scheduled Study Release Date: December 28, 2017
Charter Subscription Fee: $3200 (payment received before Dec. 21, 2017)
Standard Subscriber Fee: $3600
Study Report Text: PDF File – In English
Excel File: Market Forecast Database (2017-2027)
PowerPoint File: Summary Data Figures
Delivery: Files sent by E-mail
Information-ORDER this market study -- CONTACT: Theresa Hosking
10-Year Market Forecast
Market Research Study – Consultant Service: Description
Directly managed from our regional office in Lima, Peru – this report provides estimates and forecasts, based on market research study work performed by ElectroniCast Consultants.
The LED-based lighting covered in this study is used in fixtures in stationary/fixed locations (non-vehicle or non-portable) General Lighting applications; the lighting (lamps and PCB/printed circuit boards with driver), which are used in new fixtures or retrofitting/ replacement of existing (installed-based) lighting.
General Lighting Definition – lighting that is used to provide the main illumination of an area. The ElectroniCast definition of General Lighting also includes directional and supplementary lighting.
LEDs are used in both functional and decorative light fixtures, with an advantage of energy savings. Compared to incandescent lighting, LED-based solid-state lighting (SSL) delivers visible light with reduced heat. In addition, its solid-state nature provides for greater resistance to shock, vibration, and wear, thereby significantly increasing its lifespan.
LED Level Quantified in the ElectroniCast Study Below, are four levels (or “food chain”) pertaining to the LED marketplace. For the purposes of this ElectroniCast study, we quantify and provide a market forecast for “Level 3”
Level 1 - The chip or die
Level 2 - The LED component (packaged LED) or other components
Level 4 – Luminaire (light fixture/lamp holder/including lamp/s)
Market Forecast, by Product Type
This market forecast is presented for eight (8) major product categories.
Total Consumption: LED Lighting at Summary-Level
- General Service (A-Type Bulb: A-19/A-21); including filament-type style
- Decorative Types: Candle, Fancy Round; including filament-type style
- Linear Tube or Other Linear with Embedded Diffuser
- Street / Parking-lot / Campus / Similar (Parks, Walkways)
- High Bay/Flood/Stadium (>= 2500Lm)
- Miscellaneous: Complete LED-equipped PCB with Driver
Market Forecast, by Country
The market data are segmented into the following county/other sub-region regions; separate data-sheets are provided for the following regions:
· South America
o Combined forecast of the “Other” countries in South America
Market Forecast, By Function This report provides the 2017-2027 market data review and forecast by the following functions:
· Consumption Value
· Quantity (number/units)
· Average Selling Prices
The consumption (use) value is determined by multiplying the number of lighting units by the average selling price (ASP) in US Dollars. The average selling prices are not retail prices; the prices are based on the price of the LED product at the initial factory level. These are the original manufacturer’s (“factory”) prices invoiced to the first (original) customer, or transfer prices for internal (captive) production.
Not Covered – Lighting types not counted in this study report (see below):
· Vehicles – lighting used in automotive, buses, trains, airplanes, ships, other
- Holiday-Specific Lighting
- Signage, Signals and Digital Display; back-lighting units of monitors/TVs
- Indicator/Instrumentation; Toys; Portable lighting (flashlight/torch, lanterns, etc)
- Professional Task Lighting – Horticultural; Medical/Surgical; Production lighting in Stage/Studio; UV Curing; Other professional task lighting
- OLED or Laser-based lighting
Market Research Methodology
Market analysis and technology forecasting are complex tasks. Any predictions of the shape and trends of technology and economic movement start from the notion that the germ of what will be important tomorrow is present, although smaller or larger or in a different form, in our environment today. However, taking as a basis for a prediction the assumptions of current, conventional belief creates a set of preconceived notions that can lead to serious mistakes. ElectroniCast, instead, looks to the basic driving forces.
During the market research process, ElectroniCast analysts performed interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the LED and lighting industry, plus – R&D and factory/manufacturing, from the standpoint of both suppliers and users of LED and lighting illumination products. The interviews were conducted principally with:
· Architectural lighting Designers/Installers concerns, Engineers, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of LED lighting and related equipment, as well as other lighting technologies.
· Design group leaders, engineers, marketing personnel and market planners at major users and potential users of LEDs and lighting
· Other industry experts, including those focused on standards activities, trade associations, government and investments.
The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics.
Bottom-up Methodology ElectroniCast forecasts, as illustrated in the forecast data structure, are developed initially at the lowest detail level, then summed to successively higher levels. The background market research study focuses on the amount of each type of product used in each application in the base year (2017), and the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data.
ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends toward equipment usage and economic payback.
ElectroniCast, founded in 1981, specializes in forecasting technology and global market trends in light emitting diodes used in lighting, as well providing market data on fiber optics communication components and devices,
As an independent consultancy we offer multi-client and custom market research studies to the world's leading companies based on comprehensive, in- depth analysis of quantitative and qualitative factors. This includes technology forecasting, markets and applications forecasting, strategic planning, competitive analysis, customer-satisfaction surveys and marketing/sales consultation. ElectroniCast, founded as a technology-based independent consulting firm, meets the information needs of the investment community, industry planners and related suppliers.
ElectroniCast Fee Structure:
ElectroniCast has a one-fee structure –
“Same company/same business group/same country or immediate geographic region"
The ElectroniCast consultant service study report may be used by any employee of the client (subscriber) company/organization at the same country and in the same business group. Some business groups in the same company may occupy different locations; therefore, different locations are allowed, as long as they are in the same country or immediate region. There is no limit on the number of employees that may use the report (independent contractors on assignment with the client company are not considered eligible and may not use/view the ElectroniCast report - see below).
All data and other information contained in this data base are proprietary to ElectroniCast and may not be distributed or provided in either original or reproduced form to anyone outside the client's internal employee organization, without prior written permission of ElectroniCast.
ElectroniCast, in addition to multiple-client programs, conducts proprietary custom studies for single clients in all areas of management planning and interest. Other independent consultants, therefore, are considered directly competitive. ElectroniCast proprietary information may not be provided to such consultants without written permission from ElectroniCast Consultants.
– Tables of Contents –
1. Executive Summary
1.1 Overview – South America Summary-Level Market Forecasts
1.2 LED Lamps & Light Fixtures Used in General Lighting
1.3 Unpackaged and Packaged LED Chips Description
2. LED General Lighting - South America Market Forecast
2.9 Combined forecast of the “Other” countries in South America
3. South America LED Lighting: Competitive Analysis/Market Opportunity Analysis
4. ElectroniCast Market Research Methodology
5. Introduction/Explanation of Excel Worksheets - ElectroniCast Market Forecast
5.2 Tutorial of the Excel Worksheets
6. Definitions and Standards
· Microsoft Excel File
· PowerPoint Slides File