Thursday, April 13, 2017

News Release - LEDs in Test/Measurement, Medical/Science Market Forecast (10-year Forecast)

NEWS RELEASE                           
ElectroniCast Consultants                                   

LEDs in Test/Measurement, Medical/Science Market Forecast

According to ElectroniCast, the value of LEDs in Test/Measurement & Medical and other Science devices reached $345 million in 2016…

Aptos, CA (USA) – April 14, 2017  -- ElectroniCast Consultants, a leading market/technology consultancy, today announced the release of an update and application expansion to their annual market study and forecast of the use of light emitting diodes (LEDs) used in test/measurement, medical and other science devices. 

Last year, the global consumption value of packaged LED chips in the selected devices reached $345 million.  The value will continue to increase in most product categories, with strong quantity growth as well, partially offset by a decline of average prices (especially during the 2016-2021 timeframe).   Market forecast data refers to LED consumption for a particular calendar year; therefore, this data is not cumulative data.

The market data for are also segmented by the following colors (type): Red, Green, Blue, White, Multiple Color/Multiple Chip, and UV and others.

According to the study, the worldwide value of UV-LED packaged chips used specifically for test/measurement, medical and other science applications is forecast to reach nearly $330 million in 2026.  “Many devices, which have traditionally used mercury (Hg)-vapor Ultraviolet (UV) lamps are now utilizing LEDs, capable of producing UV radiation,” said Stephen Montgomery, president of the California-based consultancy.

This LED market study is also segmented into the following major application categories:
  • Sensing/Detection and Analytical/Monitoring
  • Photo-therapy/Sanitation/Cell Regeneration/Curing
  • Instrumentation Light Source and Imaging

Sensing/Detection and Analytical/Monitoring applications, in 2016, represented 29.5 percent of the worldwide consumption value of packaged LED chips in the selected test/measurement and medical/science devices.  In 2021, the relative market share of LEDs used in the Sensing/Detection and Analytical/ Monitoring applications is forecast to increase to 35.3 percent, and increase further in value in 2026. 

Also, covered in the study are the use of LEDs in horticulture, sterilization of surface areas, air and water, medical, health & beauty Photodynamic Therapy (PDT), as well as medical/science curing, and several other uses.  LEDs used in Instrumentation Light Sources and Imaging devices are forecast to increase in value by a multiple factor of over 4x over the next 10-years.

This year (2017), the America region is projected to hold a 36% share of worldwide quantity of LEDs in selected test/measurement and medical/science devices. The Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) region is forecast for aggressive growth.  “The Asia Pacific region (APAC) is forecast to eventually take-over the lead in relative market share,” Montgomery added.



This market forecast report is available immediately from ElectroniCast Consultants. For detailed information on this or other services provided by ElectroniCast, please contact Theresa Hosking, Marketing/Sales; thosking@electronicastconsultants.com (Telephone/USA: 831-708-2381)

ElectroniCast Consultants – www.electronicast.com specializes in forecasting trends in technology forecasting, markets and applications forecasting, strategic planning and consulting. ElectroniCast Consultants, as a technology-based independent forecasting firm, serves industrial companies, trade associations, government agencies, communications and manufacturing companies, as well as the investment/financial community.  Reduction of the risk of major investment decisions is the main benefit provided.  ElectroniCast Consultants’ goal is to understand the challenges and opportunities facing clients and to provide timely, accurate information for strategic planning.



LEDs Used in Test/Measurement, Medical & Other Science Devices Market Forecast, 2016-2026

Announcement from ElectroniCast Consultants

LEDs Used in Test/Measurement, Medical & Other Science Devices

Market Forecast and Analysis
2016-2026



Published:                  April 13, 2017
Text Pages:               274 pages  – PDF
Excel File:                  Market Forecast Database (2016-2026)
PowerPoint File:            Summary Data Figures
Delivery:                     Files delivery via E-Mail
Fee:                            US$ 3,990

                       
Report Description

This report by ElectroniCast Consultants provides the research findings of our study of the worldwide consumption of packaged Light Emitting Diodes (LEDs) in Test/ Measurement, Medical and other Science Devices.  This report provides global market data covering the years 2016-2026 (one year history, plus a 10-year forecast).  

The market data are segmented into the following geographic regions, plus a Global summary:
                       
  • North, Central and South America (America)
  • Europe, plus Middle Eastern and African countries (EMEA)
  • Asia Pacific (APAC)

The LED market is segmented into the following sub-application categories:

  • Sensing/Detection and Analytical/Monitoring
  • Photo-therapy/Sanitation/Cell Regeneration/Curing
  • Instrumentation Light Source and Imaging

The market data for are also segmented by the following colors (type):

  • Red
  • Green
  • Blue
  • White
  • Multiple Color/Multiple Chip
  • UV and Other

LED Level Quantified in the ElectroniCast Study            Below, are four levels (or “food chain”) of LEDs.  For the purposes of this ElectroniCast study, we quantify and provide a market forecast for “Level 2”

Level 1 - The chip or die
Level 2 - The Packaged LED Chip(s) 
Level 3 – LED module / LED Lamp
Level 4 - LED luminaire (light fixture/light fitting with LED module/lamp)


This report provides the market data by the following functions:

·        Consumption Value (US$, million)
·        Quantity (number/units)
·        Average Selling Prices (ASP $, each)

The value is determined by multiplying the number of units by the average selling price (ASP). The ASPs are based on the price of the packaged LED at the initial factory level.  The value is then based on the end-use application and the end-use region.

Information Base for the Market Forecast

Primary Research              This study is based on analysis of information obtained continually over the past several years, but updated through the beginning of April 2017.  During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performed interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the following sectors relative to the use of LEDs: medical, science, bio-photonic, display industry, test/measurement, instrumentation, R&D, university, military defense and government. The interviews were conducted principally with:

·        Engineers, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of LED test/measurement & medical science equipment/devices and related equipment, as well as other technologies

·        Design group leaders, engineers, marketing personnel and market planners at major users and potential users of LEDs and test/measurement & medical and other science equipment/devices

·        Other industry experts, including those focused on standards activities, trade associations, and investments. 

The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics.

Analysis              The analyst then considered customer expectations of near term growth in their application, plus forecasted economic payback of investment, technology trends and changes in government regulations in each geographical region, to derive estimated growth rates of quantity and price of each product subset in each application. These forecasted growth rates are combined with the estimated baseline data to obtain the long-range forecasts at the lowest detailed level of each product and application.





Secondary Research               A full review of published information was also performed to supplement information obtained through interviews. The following sources were reviewed:

·        Professional technical journals, papers and conference proceedings
·        Trade press articles
·        Company profile and financial information; Product literature
·        Additional information based on previous ElectroniCast market studies
·        Personal knowledge of the research team
           
In analyzing and forecasting the complexities of geographical regional markets, it is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participated in this report were qualified.

Bottom-up Methodology     ElectroniCast forecasts, as illustrated in the forecast data structure, are developed initially at the lowest detail level, then summed to successively higher levels. The background market research focuses on the amount of each type of product used in each application in the base year (last year = 2016), and the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data. ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends applicable products/applications and equipment usage and economic payback. 

Cross-Correlation Increases Accuracy    The quantities of packaged LEDs, LED Driver ICs, LED materials/wafer/die/chips, LED Lamps and LED fixtures (luminaries) and other LED-based components, manufacturing processes/quality control/yields, and end-use products used in a particular application are interrelated.  Since ElectroniCast conducts annual analysis and forecast updates in each LED component field, accurate current quantity estimates are part of the corporate database.  These quantities are cross-correlated as a "sanity check".

ElectroniCast, each year since 2002, has conducted extensive research and updated their forecasts of several LED lighting categories.  As technology and applications have advanced, the number of component subsets covered by the forecasts has expanded impressively.

The calculation and analysis data spreadsheet technique is based upon input/output analysis, leveraging the quantitative consumption quantity, price and value of each item in each application at all levels to achieve reasonable quantitative conclusions; this interactive analysis concept, first applied on a major scale by Leonteff, of the US Department of Commerce, in the mid 1950s, was then adopted successfully by analyst/forecasting firms Quantum Science, Gnostic Concepts and (in 1981) by ElectroniCast
About ElectroniCast

ElectroniCast, founded in 1981, specializes in forecasting technology and global market trends in fiber optics communication components and devices, as well providing market data on light emitting diodes used in lighting.

As an independent consultancy we offer multi-client and custom market research studies to the world's leading companies based on comprehensive, in- depth analysis of quantitative and qualitative factors. This includes technology forecasting, markets and applications forecasting, strategic planning, competitive analysis, customer-satisfaction surveys and marketing/sales consultation. ElectroniCast, founded as a technology-based independent consulting firm, meets the information needs of the investment community, industry planners and related suppliers.


Proprietary Statement

All data and other information contained in this data base are proprietary to ElectroniCast and may not be distributed or provided in either original or reproduced form to anyone outside the client's internal employee organization, without prior written permission of ElectroniCast.  ElectroniCast, in addition to multiple-client programs, conducts proprietary custom studies for single clients in all areas of management planning and interest.  Other independent consultants, therefore, are considered directly competitive.  ElectroniCast proprietary information may not be provided to such consultants without written permission from ElectroniCast Consultants.


One-Fee Policy

All employees of the client company/organization may use this report, worldwide at the consultant service subscription fee shown in the front pages of this announcement.
















Table of Contents


               
1.                  Executive Summary                                                                                                                                          
1.1                  Overview                                                                                                                                                            
1.2          Bare (Unpackaged) LED Chips – Overview                                                                                                                              
2.             LEDs – Technology Overview                                                                                                                              
3.             LEDs Used in Test/Measurement & Medical Science Devices Market Forecast                                                  
3.1                  Overview                                                                                                                                                            
3.2                   Sensing/Detection and Analytical/Monitoring                                                                                                                                                                                                                          3-                                                                                                           
3.3          Photo-therapy/Sanitation/Cell Regeneration/Curing                                                                                                                                                                       
3.4                 Instrumentation Light Source and Imaging                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
4.                ElectroniCast Market Research Methodology                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        
5.             Market Forecast Data Base - Introduction                                                                                                                                                                                                                         
5.1                Overview                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            
5.2          Tutorial                                                                                                                                                                 


– List of Tables –


1.1.1       LEDs in Test/Measurement & Medical Science Devices Global Forecast, By Application ($, Million)  
2.1          LED Color Variety – Selected Examples                                                                                                             
2.2          LED Color Chart                                                                                                                                                          
3.1.1       LEDs in Test/Measurement & Medical Science Devices Global Forecast, By Application ($, Million)  
3.1.2       LEDs in Test/Measurement & Medical Science Devices Global Forecast, By Application (Quantity)              
3.1.3       LEDs in Test/Measurement & Medical Science Devices America Forecast, By Application ($, M)
3.1.4       LEDs in Test/Measurement & Medical Science Devices America Forecast, By Application (Qty)  
3.1.5       LEDs in Test/Measurement & Medical Science Devices EMEA Forecast, By Application ($, Million)  
3.1.6       LEDs in Test/Measurement & Medical Science Devices EMEA Forecast, By Application (Quantity)              
3.1.7       LEDs in Test/Measurement & Medical Science Devices APAC Forecast, By Application ($, Million)  
3.1.8       LEDs in Test/Measurement & Medical Science Devices APAC Forecast, By Application (Quantity)              
3.2.1       LEDs in Sensing/Detection and Analytical/Monitoring Global Forecast, By Application ($, Million)  
3.2.2       LEDs in Sensing/Detection and Analytical/Monitoring Global Forecast, By Application (Quantity)              
3.2.3       LEDs in Sensing/Detection and Analytical/Monitoring America Forecast, By Application ($, Million)  
3.2.4       LEDs in Sensing/Detection and Analytical/Monitoring America Forecast, By Application (Quantity)              
3.2.5       LEDs in Sensing/Detection and Analytical/Monitoring EMEA Forecast, By Application ($, Million)  
3.2.6       LEDs in Sensing/Detection and Analytical/Monitoring EMEA Forecast, By Application (Quantity)              
3.2.7       LEDs in Sensing/Detection and Analytical/Monitoring APAC Forecast, By Application ($, Million)  
3.2.8       LEDs in Sensing/Detection and Analytical/Monitoring APAC Forecast, By Application (Quantity)              
3.2.9       Strain Sensing Technology Attributes Summary                                                                                             
3.3.1       LEDs in PDT/Sanitation/Cell Regeneration/Curing Global Forecast, By Application ($, Million)  
3.3.2       LEDs in PDT/Sanitation/Cell Regeneration/Curing Global Forecast, By Application (Quantity)              
3.3.3       LEDs in PDT/Sanitation/Cell Regeneration/Curing America Forecast, By Application ($, Million)  
3.3.4       LEDs in PDT/Sanitation/Cell Regeneration/Curing America Forecast, By Application (Quantity)              
3.3.5       LEDs in PDT/Sanitation/Cell Regeneration/Curing EMEA Forecast, By Application ($, Million)  
3.3.6       LEDs in PDT/Sanitation/Cell Regeneration/Curing EMEA Forecast, By Application (Quantity)              
3.3.7       LEDs in PDT/Sanitation/Cell Regeneration/Curing APAC Forecast, By Application ($, Million)  
3.3.8       LEDs in PDT/Sanitation/Cell Regeneration/Curing APAC Forecast, By Application (Quantity)              
3.3.9                 Therapeutic Visible Light Spectrum                                                                                                             
3.4.1       LEDs in Instrumentation Light Source and Imaging Global Forecast, By Application ($, Million)  
3.4.2       LEDs in Instrumentation Light Source and Imaging Global Forecast, By Application (Quantity)              
3.4.3       LEDs in Instrumentation Light Source and Imaging America Forecast, By Application ($, Million)  
3.4.4       LEDs in Instrumentation Light Source and Imaging America Forecast, By Application (Quantity)              
3.4.5       LEDs in Instrumentation Light Source and Imaging EMEA Forecast, By Application ($, Million)  
3.4.6       LEDs in Instrumentation Light Source and Imaging EMEA Forecast, By Application (Quantity)              
3.4.7       LEDs in Instrumentation Light Source and Imaging APAC Forecast, By Application ($, Million)  
3.4.8       LEDs in Instrumentation Light Source and Imaging APAC Forecast, By Application (Quantity)              




– List of Figures –


1.1.1       LEDs in Test/Measurement & Medical Science Devices Global Forecast ($, Million)                            
1.1.2       LEDs in Test/Measurement & Medical Science Devices Global Forecast, By Application ($, Million)  
1.1.3       LEDs in Test/Measurement & Medical Science Devices Global Forecast, By Region ($, Million)  
1.1.4       LEDs in Test/Measurement & Medical Science Devices Global Forecast, By Color ($, Million)  
1.1.5       LEDs in Test/Measurement & Medical Science Devices America Forecast, By Color ($, Million)
1.1.6       LEDs in Test/Measurement & Medical Science Devices EMEA Forecast, By Color ($, Million)  
1.1.7       LEDs in Test/Measurement & Medical Science Devices APAC Forecast, By Color ($, Million)  
1.2.1       Diagram of a typical LED chip                                                                                                                       
1.2.2       Diagram of a typical LED chip                                                                                                       
1.2.3       LED Chip Cross-Sectional Structure                                                                                                                               
1.2.4       Chip On Glass Cross-Sectional Structure                                                                                                               
1.2.5       ESD Protection Diodes                                                                                                                  
1.2.6                 Electrostatic Discharge Example                                                                                                                               
1.2.7       Chip-on-Board LED Technology                                                                                                                          
1.2.8       Single-die LED: 1000 lm at 100 lm/W at 3A                                                                                                                
1.2.9       Four-die LED with Primary Optics                                                                                                                   
1.2.10     Next Generation of High-Power LED                                                                                                                
1.2.11     LED Packaged Chip                                                                                                                                   
1.2.12     LED Packaged Chip                                                                                                                                   
1.2.13     LED Packaged Chip Surface Mount Variations                                                                                             
1.2.14     Example of LED Packaged Chip: Flux (Component-Level Bulb)                                                                           
1.2.15     Example of High Brightness LED Packaged Chip (Component-Bulb)                                                     
1.2.16     Surface Mounted Device (SMD) LED                                                                                                           
1.2.17     Chip-On-Board and Multi-Chip On Board (COB/MCOB) LED                                                                       
2.1          Green light emission from RPCVD p-GaN layers grown on MOCVD                                                 
2.2          ATEX & IECEx Certified Explosion-proof LED Light                                                                                             
2.3          Highest-Performing Single-Die LED                                                                                                   
2.4          LEDs on a Metal Core Linear Flexible Printed Circuit Board                                                                    
2.5          LED Chromatic Chart                                                                                                                                 
2.6                  Evolution of Research Emphasis During Technology Life Cycle                                                                     
2.7          Wire-Bondable Silicon ESD Diode Chip in Gel-Packs                                                                                        
2.8          LED Chip: Metal Layer (Thin Film Technology)                                                                                         
2.9          AC LED Technology on a Wafer                                                                                                                    
2.10        UV LED Chip Packages (Sample)                                                                                                                              
2.11        Fully Printed Halide Perovskite LEDs with Silver Nanowire Electrodes                                                           
2.12        Ultra High Bright LED Chip                                                                                                                                      
2.13        LED Chip Design with Copper Alloy Thermal Conductivity                                                                         
2.14        LED Chip Design – Sapphire vs. Copper Alloy                                                                                        
2.15        Ultra-Thin LED                                                                                                                                                              
2.16        Solid-State Lighting LED                                                                                                                                       
2.17        LED Module with High Light Quality                                                                                                         
2.18        LED Module with Low-Profile Rectangular Shape                                                                                   
2.19                 Phosphor Technology: Thin Film Flip Chip (TFFC) technology                                                                           
2.20        Next-Generation Light Emitting Diode Module                                                                                  
2.21        4-Leaded RGB LED                                                                                                                                       
2.22        Basic Structure of a Deep-UV Light-Emitting Diode                                                                                    
2.23        Vertically Conducting Advanced LED Structure                                                                                               
2.24        AlGaInP LED Efficacy                                                                                                                                        
2.25        Red Nitride Phosphors                                                                                                                                           
3.1.1       LEDs in Medical/Science Devices Global Forecast ($, Million)                                                  
3.1.2       LEDs in Medical/ Science Devices Global Forecast (Quantity/Units)                                                   
3.2.1       LED-induced chemiluminescence platform                                                                                                        
3.2.2       LED-based Monitoring Sensor                                                                                                                  
3.2.3       Light-Emitting Diode Detection and Ranging Board Modules                                                                               
3.2.4       UV-LED-based Indoor Air Quality                                                                                                                   
3.2.5                 Fluorescence detection of trace hydrazine vapor                                                                                     
3.2.6       Fiber Optic Temperature Sensor                                                                                                                  
3.2.7       Pre-clinical Transducer with Fiber Coating                                                                                                      
3.2.9       Sealed-Gauge Fiber Optic Pressure Sensors                                                                                               
– List of Figures – Continued

3.2.10     Seven (7) wavelengths acquire blood constituent data                                                                                  
3.2.11     Seven (7) wavelengths acquire blood constituent data                                                                  
3.2.12                 Oximeters - Upgradable Technology Platforms                                                                                             
3.2.13     LED-based Non-invasive Sensing                                                                                                                                
3.2.14                 FLIPPER - light-emitting diode excites fluorescence in the sample flow cell                                         
3.2.15     Nano-sized "carbon dots" glow brightly when exposed to light                                                                  
3.2.16     Variable wavelength HPLC/CE detector                                                                                                                
3.2.17     Led-Based Direct Visualization of Tissue Fluorescence                                                                      
3.2.18     LED-Based Cell Phone Sensor for Detection of E. coli                                                                         
3.3.1                 Comparison Graph - Mercury Lamps versus UV LEDs for Medical Curing                                   
3.3.2       DEEP UV (DUV) LED  (Surface mount devices / SMDs)                                                                  
3.3.3       World's First 70mW UV-C LED                                                                                                                       
3.3.4                  Handheld LED Light Therapy Rejuvenation Device                                                                                   
3.3.5                  Neonatal Photo therapy Treatment (Blue LEDs)                                                                                   
3.3.6       Light doses range in LED Photo therapy                                                                                                  
3.3.7       Skin treatment therapies Utilizing LED Photo-modulation: Typical LED array (Red)                     
3.3.8       Blue LED Arrays                                                                                                                                                           
3.3.9                 Apparatuses Containing Arrays of LEDs                                                                                                    
3.3.10     UV LED Disinfection                                                                                                                                         
3.3.11     Light Therapy                                                                                                                                                                
3.4.1       LEDs – Different Colors for Fluorescence Microscopy Applications                                                         
3.4.2                 Fluorescence Microscopy – Lamphouse Anatomy with LEDs                                                                     
3.4.3       LED versus Tungsten used in Slit Lamps Retina Observation                                                                         
3.4.4       Red, Green and Blue LED Light Sources – Biophotonics                                                       
3.4.5                 Theodolite Ring Light                                                                                                                                        
3.4.6       LED-Based Fiber Optic Illuminator                                                                                                                
3.4.7       LED-Based Fiber Optic Illuminator                                                                                                                
3.4.8                Holographic Bioimaging – Concept Image                                                                                                
3.4.9       Example of Color Rendering in Medical Surgery                                                                                  
3.4.10     LED-Based Surgical Lighting                                                                                                                                
3.4.11     LED-Based Surgical Lighting                                                                                                                                
3.4.12                 Reflector-Part of a LED-Based Surgical Light                                                                                      
3.4.13                 Homogenous Beam of LED Light and Light Heads                                                                                         
3.4.14     LED-based Surgical Headlamp                                                                                                                            
4.1          Market Research & Forecasting Methodology                                                                                               




Addendum

·          Excel Data Base Spreadsheets (Global Market Forecast); Detailed Data: ASP ($, each); Quantity (Million); Value ($, Million) for all Regions

·          Power Point Market Data Figures (Global Market Forecast)