India LED Lighting Market Forecast

ElectroniCast Consultants                                

 

India LED Lighting Market Forecast  

 Solid-State Lighting (SSL) General Lighting LED Lamp Consumption Market Forecast (2010-2015)

 

Publish Date:   September 28, 2011

Text Pages:     546

Also Included: Excel Market Forecast Database and PowerPoint Slides

Fee:                US$4,200

Contact: stephen_montgomery@electronicastconsultants.com

 

India - LED Lighting Market Forecast  This report, by ElectroniCast Consultants, provides the research findings of our study of the consumption of Light Emitting Diode Lamps (also known as “consumer-level bulbs” or “consumer-level globes”), which are used in luminaires in stationary (non-vehicle) solid-state lighting (SSL) General Lighting applications in India. 

Solid State     The term "solid state" refers to the fact that light in a light emitting diode (LED) is emitted from a solid object, that has do not contain moving parts or parts that can break, rupture, shatter, leak or contaminate the environment —a block of semiconductor—rather than from a vacuum or gas tube, as is the case in traditional incandescent light bulbs and fluorescent lamps.

General Lighting Stationary Applications   The definition used by ElectroniCast for General Lighting is – lighting that is used to provide the main illumination of an area. ElectroniCast includes Directional Lighting, Supplementary Lighting and Architectural Lighting in the General Lighting category.

LED Level Quantified in the ElectroniCast Study          Below, are five levels (or “food chain”) pertaining to the LED marketplace.  For the purposes of this ElectroniCast study, we quantify and provide a market forecast for “Level 4”

Level 1 - The chip or die

Level 2 - The LED component (component-level bulb)

Level 3 - LED array; may include optics, heat sink and/or power supply

Level 4 - Lamp

Level 5 - Luminaire (light fixture/lamp holder)       

This report provides the 2010-2015 market data by the following functions:

·        Consumption Value (US$, Million)

·        Quantity (number/units in Millions)

·        Average Selling Prices (ASP US$, each)

Market Forecast Product Categories    This market forecast of consumption is presented for five major lamp-type categories.  The lamp categories, in turn, may have multiple sub-categories, which are determined by lamp luminous flux and/or the physical size of the lamp. Note: lower-level products, which are indented in the list shown in Table 1, are summed-up to the higher-level product category stated above it.

Table 1

ElectroniCast Market Forecast Data Base Hierachy Structure

LED Lamp Product Category List

Total Consumption: LED Lamps

Parabolic aluminized reflector (PAR)

PAR16

PAR20

PAR30

PAR38

PAR56

PAR64

PAR-Types: Other (Miscellaneous) Sizes

General Service/Decorative: Mushroom, Fancy/Candle, Panel, Other

Multifaceted reflector (MR) Compatible

            MR16

            MR11 / Other MR

Linear / Tube

< 1200mm

> 1200mm

Street, Parking-lot, Campus / Similar (Parks, Walkways)

Market Forecast Application Categories         This market forecast of consumption is presented by three major End-User categories:

·  Government

·  Commercial/Industrial

·  Residential/Non-Specific

The Commercial/ Industrial group is especially strong in the General Service lamps and PAR lamps; however, MR compatible lamps are forecast to begin replacing halogen-based MR lamps in many retail-type settings (displays and ceiling lighting), thus MR compatible lamps are forecast with an average annual growth rate of 74.5 percent in the Commercial/ Industrial application.  Streetlight type of flood/exterior lighting used in parking lots, campus and landscaping is forecast to maintain a strong presence consumption value, in the Commercial/ Industrial group, especially with the lamp’s high average selling price compared to other-types of lamps.

Residential is forecast with relative strong use in the General Service lamp types; however MR compatible are also forecast with a strong market share, used in modern ceiling lighting and fixtures. 

Street Lighting is forecast to dominate the Government application in terms of consumption value.

Overall, the LED-based Linear (tube) lamp category, which offers an alternative to the standard fluorescent tube lamps, are forecast to remain relatively minor, at least near-term (2010-2015).

The average selling price (ASPs) shown in the ElectroniCast market forecast for the LED lamps used in India, are not retail prices; the prices are based on the price of the LED lamp at the initial factory level (prior to FOB – Free On Board); therefore, shipping expenses and any other value-added items are not included.  The consumption value is then based on the end-use application in India.

This study is based on analysis of information obtained continually over the past eight years, but updated through the end of September 2011. During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performed interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the LED and lighting industry, plus – R&D and factory/manufacturing, from the standpoint of both suppliers and users of LED and lighting illumination products.