ElectroniCast Consultants
India LED Lighting Market Forecast
Solid-State Lighting (SSL) General Lighting LED Lamp Consumption Market Forecast (2010-2015)
Publish Date: September 28, 2011
Text Pages: 546
Also Included: Excel Market Forecast Database and PowerPoint Slides
Fee: US$4,200
Contact: stephen_montgomery@electronicastconsultants.com
India - LED Lighting Market Forecast This report, by ElectroniCast Consultants, provides the research findings of our study of the consumption of Light Emitting Diode Lamps (also known as “consumer-level bulbs” or “consumer-level globes”), which are used in luminaires in stationary (non-vehicle) solid-state lighting (SSL) General Lighting applications in India.
Solid State The term "solid state" refers to the fact that light in a light emitting diode (LED) is emitted from a solid object, that has do not contain moving parts or parts that can break, rupture, shatter, leak or contaminate the environment —a block of semiconductor—rather than from a vacuum or gas tube, as is the case in traditional incandescent light bulbs and fluorescent lamps.
General Lighting Stationary Applications The definition used by ElectroniCast for General Lighting is – lighting that is used to provide the main illumination of an area. ElectroniCast includes Directional Lighting, Supplementary Lighting and Architectural Lighting in the General Lighting category.
LED Level Quantified in the ElectroniCast Study Below, are five levels (or “food chain”) pertaining to the LED marketplace. For the purposes of this ElectroniCast study, we quantify and provide a market forecast for “Level 4”
Level 1 - The chip or die
Level 2 - The LED component (component-level bulb)
Level 3 - LED array; may include optics, heat sink and/or power supply
Level 4 - Lamp
Level 5 - Luminaire (light fixture/lamp holder)
This report provides the 2010-2015 market data by the following functions:
· Consumption Value (US$, Million)
· Quantity (number/units in Millions)
· Average Selling Prices (ASP US$, each)
Market Forecast Product Categories This market forecast of consumption is presented for five major lamp-type categories. The lamp categories, in turn, may have multiple sub-categories, which are determined by lamp luminous flux and/or the physical size of the lamp. Note: lower-level products, which are indented in the list shown in Table 1, are summed-up to the higher-level product category stated above it.
Table 1
ElectroniCast Market Forecast Data Base Hierachy Structure
LED Lamp Product Category List
Total Consumption: LED Lamps
Parabolic aluminized reflector (PAR)
PAR16
PAR20
PAR30
PAR38
PAR56
PAR64
PAR-Types: Other (Miscellaneous) Sizes
General Service/Decorative: Mushroom, Fancy/Candle, Panel, Other
MR16
MR11 / Other MR
Linear / Tube
< 1200mm
> 1200mm
Street, Parking-lot, Campus / Similar (Parks, Walkways)
Market Forecast Application Categories This market forecast of consumption is presented by three major End-User categories:
· Government
· Commercial/Industrial
· Residential/Non-Specific
The Commercial/ Industrial group is especially strong in the General Service lamps and PAR lamps; however, MR compatible lamps are forecast to begin replacing halogen-based MR lamps in many retail-type settings (displays and ceiling lighting), thus MR compatible lamps are forecast with an average annual growth rate of 74.5 percent in the Commercial/ Industrial application. Streetlight type of flood/exterior lighting used in parking lots, campus and landscaping is forecast to maintain a strong presence consumption value, in the Commercial/ Industrial group, especially with the lamp’s high average selling price compared to other-types of lamps.
Residential is forecast with relative strong use in the General Service lamp types; however MR compatible are also forecast with a strong market share, used in modern ceiling lighting and fixtures.
Street Lighting is forecast to dominate the Government application in terms of consumption value.
Overall, the LED-based Linear (tube) lamp category, which offers an alternative to the standard fluorescent tube lamps, are forecast to remain relatively minor, at least near-term (2010-2015).
The average selling price (ASPs) shown in the ElectroniCast market forecast for the LED lamps used in India, are not retail prices; the prices are based on the price of the LED lamp at the initial factory level (prior to FOB – Free On Board); therefore, shipping expenses and any other value-added items are not included. The consumption value is then based on the end-use application in India.
