The LED Linear Tube Lamp – Less is More LED linear tube lamps provide a good example of using component-level LEDs bulbs with a higher lumen/Watt (lm/W) in a set-sized package. Over the next 10-years, it will become apparent that it will take less LEDs per lamp to provide more overall brightness, at a lower average selling price per lamp.
During the forecast period, as the volume of use of the component-level bulbs increase, as the competition intensifies, as the consumer awareness increases, as the automatic test and assembly (the manufacturing processes) of the piece-parts and higher-level components improves, the road will be paved for lower price LEDs with a higher lumen/W rating to be use in the LED linear tube lamp.
Therefore, by the year 2016, less component-level bulbs will be required (at a lower average selling price per component-level bulb) to produce a LED linear tube lamp. According to the ElectroniCast market and technology analysis, the year 2015 and especially 2016 will be the launching years, taking the LED linear tube lamp from an immature (just beyond beta-test mode) and into a steep growth cycle. We suppose a closing thought on this matter is: will the lamp producers and the value-added resellers, and the consumer-level retailer commodity-market (for example the home-improvement stores and even the light-bulb isle in the supermarket/grocery store) presents a lower and acceptable price-point to the consumer.
The ElectroniCast global market is segmented into the following major application categories:
· Government
o Interior and Exterior General Lighting
o Display and Signage
· Commercial/Industrial
o Interior and Exterior General Lighting
o Display and Signage
· Vehicles
o Mass-Transit and Other Vehicle
· Residential and Non-Specific (Other) Consumer
The worldwide use of LED linear tube lamps is forecast increase at a dramatic average annual growth rate of 74.9 percent (2011-2016), before speeding-up the pace from 2016-2021. The use of SSL (solid-state lighting) LED linear tube lamps in the Government controlled general lighting (interior and exterior) lighting applications is currently the market leader; however, the commercial/ industrial lighting category is forecast for even faster growth and will eventually take the leadership role. All of the selected end-user groups (applications) are forecast for very strong growth rates (2011-2021).
The use of LED-based linear tube lamps used in the Commercial/Industrial Display and Signage application category is forecast to increase at an average annual rate of 75.2 percent (2011-2016) and then 78.3 percent (2016-2021). Consumption of LED-based linear tube lamps used in Government controlled display and signage (emergency signs, street signs and other roadway signage, and similar) is forecast to climb dramatically.
Another major consumer category for the use of LED linear tube lamps is the vehicle category, which includes both commercial (private) and government controlled bus, trains, subways airplanes, shipping and other vehicles.
The use of LED linear tube lamps is being marketed for use inside taxi light box (taxi roof light box, taxi top light box, taxi roof signs). Note: we count the taxi lighting in the display/signage category (we count displays and signage in vehicles in the display/signage category and not the vehicle category).
The residential category includes MDUs (multiple dwelling units) as well as single family units; therefore lighting in large apartment complexes in parking areas, stairways and elevators are counted along with the under-the-cabinet lighting found in a growing number of residences. This category, which also includes non-specified users (possibly associated with small/medium business concerns, is forecast for the fastest annual growth during the 2016 to 2021 time span, as linear lamps finally begin to show-up in the consumer (retail) market channel.
Publish Date: January 25, 2012
Text Pages: 646
Also Included: Excel Worksheets/Data Tables and PowerPoint Slides
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ElectroniCast Consultants 10-year market forecast of the worldwide consumption of light emitting diode (LED) linear tube lamps, which are used in new construction, retrofitting of existing (installed-based) and as a replacement for fluorescent linear lamps (tubes).
The ElectroniCast report provides an independent examination and analysis of the changing market dynamics for two major types of LED-based linear tube lamps, segmented by length (less than 4 feet and 4 feet or longer), each of diameter classification (“T” standard) and by technology:
· DIP LED-based linear tube lamps
o T5, T8, T12 and T10/Other
· SMD LED-based linear tube lamps
o T5, T8, T12 and T10/Other
The market forecast data are presented for LED linear lamps, segmented by the following functions:
· Consumption Value (US$, million)
· Quantity (number/units)
· Average Selling Prices (ASP $, each)
The market data are segmented into the following geographic regions, plus a Global summary:
· America (North America, Central and South America)
· EMEA (Europe, Middle Eastern countries, plus Africa)
· APAC (Asia Pacific)
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